Results for “Alan S. Blinder”

The easiest piece of advice to give, but the hardest to follow- is to not let yourself get swept up in the next bubble. You could have said that about tech stocks in the 90's, housing prices around the world in the early 2000's… but people always got swept up in them. The history of financial bubbles does not give cause for optimism.

If you mean magnitude of crisis in the literal sense of comparing it against the one which occurred? I think it's very, very unlikely. This was the hundred-year flood. If you stopped before that phrase and just asked whether we would face another crisis in the financial markets within our generation? Then I'd bet the ranch on that. Markets have an incredible capacity to forget.

The government turned a profit on the financial market aspects of TARP- a profit! One of the many sad legacies about this episode is the bad name given to fiscal stimulus and TARP. You can't even use those terms in the United States any more without thinking of a euphemism. People still think these measures cost American taxpayers a huge amount of money and did no good. The facts are exactly the reverse.

There's a disease shared between individuals who consider themselves the smartest people in the room that makes them think they'll be the ones that get out just in time, while others are left holding the bag. That was true for a few people, but in general… someone will always be left holding the bag.

This is the equivalent of asking how close we came to falling through a big crack in the Earth when it didn't actually happen. However… going on eyewitness accounts from very informed and non-hysterical observers such as Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and others, it looks like we were quite close. When people start talking seriously about some of the biggest banks in the world folding? …That says you're pretty close to a meltdown.

Markets have an incredible capacity to forget, so who knows if it will stay like that… Markets forget, they get over-leveraged, they extend themselves, we will see other bubbles.

What I mean by that is compensation systems- especially for traders- that created go for broke incentives. If you won big, you became fabulously wealthy- and if you lost big- you got a comparative slap across the wrist.

The government turned a profit on the financial market aspects of TARP- a profit! People still think these measures cost American taxpayers a huge amount of money and did no good. The facts are exactly the reverse.