I have argued, along with Nassim Taleb, that one of the sources of overconfidence in our ability to forecast the future is the great ease with which we find explanations for the past. That’s a very significant mechanism that produces overconfidence.
Daniel Kahneman — I have argued, along with Nassim Taleb, that one of the sour
I have argued, along with Nassim Taleb, that one of the sources of overconfidence in our ability to forecast the future is the great ease with which we find explanations for the past. That’s a very significant mechanism that produces…