“One of the sources of overconfidence in our ability to forecast the future is the great ease with which we find explanations for the past. That's a very significant mechanism that produces overconfidence.”
— Daniel Kahneman
Nobel Prize Winner in Economics for Behavioral Economics Research

The quote archive

Wisdom in fragments

A growing archive of 3,000+ moments, drawn from every interview.

I've sat in front of the chief ideologue in the Moscow Kremlin, and I remember him saying to us in so many words, that 'you cannot govern Russia unless you have a one-party state: Our job in the Kremlin here and now, is not to recreate the communist party, but it's to recreate the one party which will be the natural choice'.

— Simon Smith

When people talk about getting there… there's no there to get to. The problem is the eternal search for there. There is no there, you are searching for something that doesn't exist.

— Marshall Goldsmith

World's Most Cited Executive Coach & Leadership Development Expert

Only one second in time you can find peace – now. There's only one second you can be happy – now. There's only one place you can find peace and happiness. Where you are. This is it, it's not out there somewhere, it's in you.

— Marshall Goldsmith

World's Most Cited Executive Coach & Leadership Development Expert

You should never place your value as a human being on results. You don't control the results of the game – people get lucky or go bankrupt. Also, what happens when you achieve your result? What long-term satisfaction does that bring you?

— Marshall Goldsmith

World's Most Cited Executive Coach & Leadership Development Expert

One of the greatest myths in the lives of the people I coach is, 'I will be happy when…' as if there is some place to go to. There's only one book that ends with the phrase happily ever after, that's a fairy-tale.

— Marshall Goldsmith

World's Most Cited Executive Coach & Leadership Development Expert

We do have quite a bit of agency over our lives, and to the degree that we can plot our own course and choose our lives as opposed to being subject to environmental factors, that means we're leading the lives we want rather than the lives we have-to live.

— Marshall Goldsmith

World's Most Cited Executive Coach & Leadership Development Expert

There is a rationality to believing in conspiracy theories that purport to identify somebody acting in secret to harm or gain an advantage that's illegal or immoral, over somebody else without their knowledge or consent.

— Michael Shermer

Founder of The Skeptics Society & Science Communicator

Our brains are not so well equipped, we just tend to assume patterns that look connected are causally connected. So a conspiracy theory is just another causal theory – why did these things happen?

— Michael Shermer

Founder of The Skeptics Society & Science Communicator

Enough conspiracy theories are true, it pays to believe more of them are true than actually are, make a type 1 error, false positive, you thought something was real when it wasn't, as opposed to a type 2 error where you failed to recognise a real conspiracy which could be costly.

— Michael Shermer

Founder of The Skeptics Society & Science Communicator

It is very common in politics that each party assume the other party cheated in every election if they lose. It's not that republicans are more suspicious than democrats or vice versa, but their constructive paranoia leads them to believe that the other party is doing something sinister.

— Michael Shermer

Founder of The Skeptics Society & Science Communicator

Education attenuates conspiracism such as those without a high school diploma are twice as likely to believe conspiracy theories than people with a graduate degree. But 1 in 5 people with a graduate degree believe in conspiracy theories, which is 20% – that is a high number. Education does not entirely eliminate it.

— Michael Shermer

Founder of The Skeptics Society & Science Communicator

The unintelligibility of suffering adds insult to injury. I don't think we can have reassurance that 'it's always for the best', but I think we can understand what's going on. The craving for understanding for many of us is deep, and philosophy can help us overcome that frustration.

— Kieran Setiya

Harvard philosophy professor specializing in ethics and meaning

Philosophy is not an anaesthetic, like it's just going to make the pain go away. But there is great solace in really understanding why chronic pain is difficult. Understanding those things can be consoling in itself, in part because it overcomes the isolation of illness.

— Kieran Setiya

Harvard philosophy professor specializing in ethics and meaning

We flee from affliction the way an animal flees from death. There's a sense in which it's perfectly natural that our response to difficulty in life is aversive. We're only going to be able to live well with the difficulties of life if we face up to them, because they're difficult.

— Kieran Setiya

Harvard philosophy professor specializing in ethics and meaning

We have to live in the world as it is, not the world as we wish it would be, is something that we misunderstand. If we are realistic those ideals are usually out of reach, and in fact thinking about them and dreaming about them is a way to punish ourselves for the fact our lives are never going to match up to those ideals.

— Kieran Setiya

Harvard philosophy professor specializing in ethics and meaning

We believe that flexibility should exist, and that benefits earned should be portable and proportional to the amount of work you're doing on each platform. It's a tremendous opportunity for the global work-system.

— Christopher Payne